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The gold market is experiencing a period of “golden mania”, with record prices and significant volatility. This excitement is reflected in precious metal achieved by a record maximum of $ 2954.69 for ounce on February 20, 2025. It was the twelfth time in 2025, when the gold broke over all the time, illustrating bull media in the gold market. This trend affects not only physical gold, but also related to the sector Investment vehicles. The combination of geopolitical and macroeconomic factors, along with the unusual dynamics of the market, suggests that Gold Bull Run can continue, providing opportunities for investors.

Golden catalysts: geopolitics, economics and central banks

Several interconnected forces are united to create an “perfect storm” for gold prices. The ongoing conflict in Ukraine remains the significant driving forces of the injured demand for gold. In 2022, Russia’s invasion caused an initial flight to a safe place, and the ongoing instability in combination with recent statements by President Trump fuel further uncertainty. These events emphasize the fragility of the situation and enhance the traditional role of Gold as a shelter during the international crisis.

Economic anxieties also significantly contribute to the growth of gold. Global inflation problems encourage investors to look for assets that can maintain purchasing power. The proposed Trump policy, including tariffs and a potential increase in financial expenses, are considered as inflationary, which further supports the case for gold. The US government debt, which has flown up to 13 trillion dollars since the pandemic with pandemia, and the accompanying depreciation of the US dollar (about 25% since the pandemic) are also important factors.

Central banks around the world were at the Gold Cup, which provides a solid basis to support prices. Since 2009, central banks have been pure gold buyers, and this trend has sharply accelerated since 2022. China and India, in particular, aggressively accumulate gold, and China’s reserves reached a record $ 73.5 billion in January 2025 -the time of a maximum of $ 70.9 billion in February 2025. This purchase is due to a strategic shift for diversification of reserves away from the US dollar and hedging against the economy and geopolitical risks.

Signs of stress in the gold market

The current Golden Mania is reflected in prices and unusual market activity, which involves growing demand and potential problems. A significant award appeared between the prices of futures for Comex Gold futures (trade in New York) and London prices for gold, reaching up to $ 40 per ounce before Trump’s inauguration. As of February 20, 2025, Comex futures are traded for $ 15 per ounce higher than in London ingots. This discrepancy demonstrates a high demand for gold in the United States, potentially determined by fears about trade policy and the desire to keep gold in the jurisdiction of the United States. This difference in prices is additionally emphasized by the massive flow of physical gold from Switzerland to the United States. In fact, the export of Swiss gold in the United States reached 192 933 kilograms in January 2025, which is the highest in at least 13 years, which led to an increase in gold reserves by 116% in Comex warehouses.

Soon, the demand and the transition of gold to New York strained the London market, the traditional center of physical trade gold. This is demonstrated by a sharp increase in gold rental rates in London, which indicates higher costs of borrowing gold and is often a sign of limited availability. The reports also appeared, which indicates potential problems with liquidity and “lack” of ingots in London, which further emphasizes the load on the market.

Mining reserves and ETF in the golden rally

Reserves with gold booty and ETF, supported by gold, offer various opportunities for investors who seek to participate in the gold market, each of which has their own risk/remuneration profile.

Barrick Gold: a play with a borrowed environment

Barrick gold NYSE: Gold Provides the impact on the increase in gold prices. As a mining company, its profit is directly related to the price of gold, and its price price has a tendency to strengthen the movement of prices for gold. The Barrick’s income report for the 4th quarter of 2024 corresponded to consensus estimates, and the company allowed a promotion program of shares in the amount of 1 billion US dollars on February 12, 2025.

Analysts have a consensus -medium rating of gold purchases with an average target price of $ 23.75, which is a potential growth of more than 26%. The relatively low ratio of debt to own capital from 0.14 times involves financial stability. Nevertheless, investors should know about the inalienable risks associated with the prey of minerals, including operational problems, geopolitical risks in jurisdictions of mineral production and sensitivity to operational expenses.

NewMont Corporation: Global diversification

NewMont Corporation NYSE: No Offers another way to influence gold. Like Barrick, NewMont profitability is closely related to gold prices, and its shares tend to demonstrate enhanced prices. However, unlike Barrick Gold, NewMont profit for 4 quarters of 2024 missed consensus assessments of the analyst.

Despite the income, analysts support the consensus -medium rating of purchases on NewMont, with an average price price of $ 53.37, which implies a potential growth of more than 11%. Global NewMont diversification with operations in North and South America, Africa, Australia and Papua -Nova Guinea may offer a slight decrease in geopolitical risks compared to companies concentrated in fewer regions.

SPDR GOLD TRUST: Direct and liquid exposure

SPDR GOLD TRUST ETF NYSEARCA: GLD Provides the most direct and liquid way for investors to get an impact on the rally of gold prices without the difficulties of physical ownership or risks associated with mining shares. Gold Trust is designed to track the point price for gold and has physical gold ingots in safe storages.

As of February 20, 2025, the trust is traded at the level of $ 271.35, with an annual profit of 11.9%. SPDR Gold Trust is very liquid, and the shares are easily purchased and sold on the main stock exchanges, which makes it a convenient option for investors of all sizes. It also has a relatively low clean cost coefficient of 0.40%. SPDR Gold Trust offers an alternative to a lower risk of mining shares, as it is directly related to the price of gold, avoiding risks for a particular company.

Gold fever: balance of opportunities and risk

The Golden Mania is due to a powerful combination of geopolitical tension, economic uncertainty and the purchase of the Central Bank. Despite the ambitious, targeted price of gold in the amount of $ 3,000 per ounce, of course, is within the limits of possibilities, taking into account the current dynamics of the market and the forecasts of analysts. Nevertheless, investors should remember the volatility of the gold market and potential for short -term corrections, even within the framework of a wider bull tendency.

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