Constellation Brands fall – buying for investors of value? News ad

Constellation Brends today

CONTELLATION BRANDS, InC. Promotive logo
StzSTZ 90-day performance

Constellation Brands

$ 164.59 -0.41 (-0.25%)

As of 02/11/2025 03:59

52-week range
$ 161.00

$ 274.87

Dividend yield
2.45%

P/e ratio.
44.24

Value is valuable
$ 254.29

Alcohol is usually inelastic as prices grow; Demand, as a rule, remains the same. However, this does not mean that consumers cannot trade or switch the types of alcohol. CONTELLATION BRANDS INC. NYSE: stz It is one of the largest manufacturers of beer, wine and alcohol in the world.

The leader of the Staples Staples sector has many popular alcoholic beverages in their portfolio, including the best -selling Corona, Modelo, Pacifico Beers, Robert Mondavi, Kim Crawford and Wins Meloni, as well as High West and Casa Noble Tequila.

This is the best beer importer in the United States, faced with severe competition from the outside Molson Coors Beverage Co. NYSE: TapIts shares are traded in the field of about five -year minimums, since sales of wine and alcohol continues to decline while beer sales continue to grow.

Why do consumers drink less wine and liquor?

According to SOVOS SHIPCOMPLiant, the wine industry faced the largest registered drop in volumes and costs. Their data indicate that in 2024, 10% compared to last year (YOY) fell to 6.4 million cases, and a reduction in the cost by 5% in annual calculus to 3.94 billion dollars. The consumption of wine in the United States has steadily falls since 2021. The cost and health problems, as a rule, are the main reason that young people avoid winging.

Even the legalization of cannabis was led to a decrease in wines sales, which explains why Constellation brands took $ 4 billion on their investments in Canopy Growth Co. NASDAQ: CGC In 2017, with plans to release a drink filled with cannabis. Nevertheless, Constellation abandoned his plans and decided to distance himself from the company in 2024, at least until Konopra received federal legalization.

Constellation Brands reported the financial APS Q3 2025 in the amount of $ 3.25, there are no consensus estimates at $ 3.31 for 6 cents. Revenue fell by 0.3% to 2.46 billion dollars. USA, as well as there are no consensus estimates in the amount of 2.53 billion dollars. USA.

The beer business is growing, while wine and alcohol continue to plunge

In his beer business, net sales are growing by 3% year, due to an increase in the volume of shipment by 1.6%. It was shares No. 1 of the dollar, with six out of the 15 best brands receiving shares. Modelo Especial retained its place No. 1, while Corona Extra remained the best brand, and Pacifico took 4th place in the dollar share. Constellation expects the sales of net sales Beer Business will grow by 4% -7%, and operational income will increase by 9-12% in the financial 2025.

In the business of wine and alcohol, net sales decreased by 14% year, due to a reduction in the volume of shipment by 16.4%. Weaker consumer demand and inventory of Destocking retail trading have been deficient. Contellation expects to reduce organic net sales by 5% to 8%, and in 2025 operating income will decrease by 17% to 19%. Projection up to 1.6 billion dollars. USA to 1.8 billion dollars. USA.

Elephant in the room: exposure to tariffs

Constellation brands are especially vulnerable to tariffs for Mexican imports, since they include Modelo, Corona and Pacifico by the best -selling beer. This beer is brewed in their factories in Mexico and imported back to the United States. Trump’s potential tariffs for Mexican import were also a factor that led to sale, since 85% of their income is received from Mexican imports. Despite the fact that there was a 30-day delay, any set of new tariffs is a threat to the field. This would really check inelasticity with its best -selling beer. The leadership did not give many details in the plans for softening, as this is still “too early hypothesis …”

Attracting new customers of age

Constellalation Brands CEO Bill Newlands commented: “We also continue to increase significant demand in our portfolio from new consumers by age of legal alcohol and are glad that this year there was a higher share of our dollar sales this year. They made more trips to the store and spent more on every trip through our brands. ”

Weekly reverse cover and handle diagram

A sample of a cup and handle consists of two separate patterns: a cup and a handle. The cup is formed in the form of a rack high, noting the lip line, since the shares fall to a low level, form the bottom of the rounding and rally back to re -draw the lip line. After the cup is completed, the reserve is again rejected from the lip line to form a shallow rollback before turning back again to repeat the lip cup line, forming the handle. A breakthrough of the cup and pen arises if the supply can break out above the line of the lips of the cup on the handle and in the third attempt. The reverse cup and pen have the same education, but are in the opposite direction.

Constellation brands Stz Stock Hart

STZ formed a weekly reverse cup with a reverse cup, as the shares were interrupted as part of VWAP weekly support on binding in the amount of $ 225.62, falling on the lip line of $ 160.63. STZ must bounce off this level of support to form a pen. Traiders can play a rebound on the handle to Fib 208.52 dollars. Fibonacci (FIB) The pumping support levels are $ 168.71, $ 160.63, $ 140.38 dollars and $ 123.51.

The average consensus price of stalls stz is 50.42% higher at $ 254.29and his highest analytical target price $ 306.00. He has 12 purchases and nine ratings. Promotions have 1.88% short percentage.

Bull investors can consider the possibility of using cash, at the levels of FIB rollback to buy DIP. In the case of the appointment of shares, then writing covered calls at the levels of increased FIB performs a wheel strategy for income in addition to 2.38% of dividend yield by 2.38%.

Before considering Constellation brands, you will want to hear it.

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