The bear market is far from finished – that’s why News ad

The markets are cyclicalAnd this is the inevitable truth that each investor must remember, at the risk of his capital in the financial markets, regardless of which class of assets or a separate company they decide to invest. No profit can be made without volatility, although the same number of losses, and the differentiating factor all reduces to Market records and outputsField

Today it is Time in the stock market History, with volatility modes growing for fundamental and external reasons. For example, recent trading tariffs implemented by President Trump in The United States economy overshadow the ability to predict future economic activity and growth, indirectly creating “Choppy” financial marketsField

As if optimistic, some investors may remain in the future, the profit in the coming years will not come without adjustment in the first place.

This adjustment can be closer than everyone thinks.

There are several signs that each investor should keep in mind today, and this is what they will leave today. Tracking specific behavior in SPDR S&P 500 ETF TRUST NYSEARCA: Spy will shed some light on future expectations, as well as activity in other areas, such as bonds through ISHARES 20 ETF treasury bond NASDAQ: TLT And other loud names for reference. Here is the first hint.

Technical levels with deeper values

Over the course of several weeks of the so -called “Liberation Day”, when President Trump announced the level of tariff implementation, the S&P 500 index fell to the key level. This level was tested throughout history and has the same meaning today as then. This Reducing by 20% of maximums for all the timeor Bear market separation.

Whenever the action, or the index in this case, receives this 20% discount from its maximums, something large happens. Typically, margin calls are issued, which they were in April 2025, since brokers asked for more security for trading products such as futures, since this level, where the entire market decides either to help out or continue to support the restoration of money injection.

The same dynamics can be studied during Great financial crisis of 2008When the 20 percent discount level was tested to see a similar reaction for today (the rebound from the margin challenges made), only in order to be verified again to cause surrender.

For those who observe S&P 500 futures for reference, this level is an area of ​​$ 4900.

Suppose history is repeated, as in each cycle. In this case, this level will be verified again, and therefore traders and investors are committed to the implementation of further marginal calls or getting rid of their inventory.

There are some Fundamental reasons Why the latter can take place.

It’s not bad, it’s terrible

A Reality curve in communication marketscalculated as a ten-year-old yield of bonds minus the two-year revenue of bonds, now it comes out due to the negative (or inversion) territory. This event is important because it predicted each recession over the past 30 years with 100% accuracy, and today this curve tells everyone that the market is going to see The worst accident in the history of the crop curveField

Nevertheless, investors can study some of the subtle hints present today. Consumer trust indices They are in cyclic minimums, and consumer discretions report lower profit recommendations, citing less expenses and increased caution of the consumer.

Then there is a business side, with PMI indices, which is also softening as a warning that US GDP growth will probably decrease below the expectations of economists. While all these fundamental data are important, in this case there is the best way to the market: tracking some of the largest voters in the S&P 500 index.

These include the so -called “Magnificent 7” reserveswith a special emphasis on Apple Inc. NASDAQ: Aapl And Nvidia Co. NASDAQ: NVDABoth of these shares fell below their corresponding 20% discount from their maximumsmeaning The market did not want to intervene And support them back to a safe place.

Moreover, their assessments tell a similar story.

Both of these shares see their forwarding rates for profit (P/E) located on cyclic minimums, and any experienced trader will accept this as a sign that the market will discount even the best names. There must be a reason (bearish in this) so that these discounts are in place.

This very reason can also be why Warren Buffett decided to reduce his position In the market today, it sells completely from the S&P 500 and significantly reduces its rates on Apple and other assets in the United States.

Whether investors are looking at the market today in Technical or fundamental The path, the topic is concentrated around a mass accident.

What to do?

The time of the top will be impossibleAnd letting go too early to be just as expensive, so investors should remember this 20% discount for S&P 500. When it is re -verified again, the real answer will come to them whether there will be another large mileage below or the second attempt to recover.

However, the data indicate that there will be lower prices.

Before considering NVIDIA, you will want to hear this.

Marketbeat monitors the highest and most effective analysts with the most effective Wall Street analysts and promotions that they recommend to their customers daily. Marketbeat has identified five shares that leading analysts quietly whisper to their customers to buy now before a wider market is won … and Nvidia was not on the list.

While NVIDIA currently has an average purchase rating among analysts, analysts with the highest rating believe that these five promotions are better buying.

View five shares here