The attractiveness of private credit has grown significantly among investors and institutions seeking alternative sources of income. As traditional bank lending remains subdued and companies increasingly choose to remain private longer, the private credit market offers potentially lucrative opportunities. In this growing sector Trinity Capital NASDAQ: TRIN stands out as a tempting income game that boasts attractive dividend yield and a unique business model.
Trinity Capital today
(As of 12/06/2024 ET)
- 52 week range
- $13.05
▼
$15.44
- Dividend yield
- 14.27%
- P/E ratio
- 8.36
- Target price
- $15.17
Trinity Capital is a business development company (BDC), a special type of investment company that provides financing to small and medium-sized businesses. BDCs are regulated investment companies that are required to invest at least 70% of their assets in private companies or publicly traded companies with low share prices. Trinity also serves as a registered investment advisor (RIA).
This dual business model—BDC and RIA—allows the company to manage capital from third parties while generating additional income through management and incentive fees. This structure, unique among many BDC analogues, offers consistent dividend income stream and potential for long-term stock growth.
Trinity occupies a distinct niche in this sector by concentrating on the lower middle market, providing capital to late-stage, venture capital and private equity firms experiencing rapid growth. In a recent interview with MarketBeat’s Bridget Bennett, CEO Kyle Brown explained how equipment financing in areas such as data centers and aerospace allows Trinity to benefit from industry expansion while reducing companies’ direct operational risks.
“We don’t really take risks or risks on AI or the operating companies that are trying to generate revenue in this space,” Brown said. “We are in the business of financing picks and shovels.”
High profitability, high growth potential
Trinity Capital stands out in the market with its attractive dividend yieldcurrently 14.26%, which is a significant advantage for income-oriented investors. This impressive yield, coupled with a remarkable track record of maintaining or increasing its dividend for 19 consecutive quarters, makes Trinity an attractive option in the current market environment.
Trinity Capital Dividend Payment
- Dividend yield
- 14.33%
- Annual dividends
- US$2.04
- Dividend payout ratio
- 119.30%
- Recent dividend payment
- October 15
TRIN Dividend History
As of December 4, 2024, the annual dividend is $2.04 per share. While the current dividend payout ratio of 119.30% may be cause for concern, Brown explains that the high yield is primarily a result of the stock’s current valuation. Future forecasts suggest a potential decline in this ratio, but it remains a key indicator that investors should keep an eye on.
Trinity’s impressive net investment income (NII) is key to maintaining a healthy dividend payout. The company’s success in generating net income, coupled with its expanding portfolio and strategic investments in high-growth areas, indicates its ability to maintain and potentially increase its dividend in the future.
Drivers of growth: strategic investments and financial stability
Trinity Capital is demonstrating strong growth dynamics, supported by several key factors. Trinity Third Quarter Earnings Report In fiscal 2024, the company saw significant expansion of its portfolio, with total platform assets under management (AUM) reaching $2 billion, up 54% year-over-year. This AUM growth highlights Trinity’s ability to identify and successfully direct capital to high-growth opportunities in its niche market.
Strategic investments such as the US$40 million commitment to Impress, Europe’s leading orthodontic services network, are a clear example of Trinity’s commitment to supporting promising companies in dynamic sectors. Besides, The RIA segment allows Trinity to attract third-party capital, contributing to stable revenue generation and enhancing the company’s overall financial strength.
“We may charge management fees and incentive fees (on third-party capital),” Brown said. “And 100% of these management fee streams belong to our public shareholders.”
In addition to the positive outlook, Trinity Capital’s board of directors approved a $30 million share repurchase program. This initiative underscores management’s belief that the company’s shares are undervalued and signals a commitment to enhancing shareholder value through direct capital return, which is a significant positive for investors.
Trinity’s financial position is equally strong. Recent bond offerings totaling $142.5 million and extension of the credit facility to $510 million clearly indicate a readily available and secure source of capital. This access to financing provides the opportunity to expand investment opportunities and further fuel the company’s expansion strategy.
Reducing risks in the private lending market
While Trinity Capital’s high-yield dividend and growth trajectory are attractive, it’s important to examine the potential risks. For example, Triniy’s dividend payout ratio currently exceeds 100%, indicating that the company pays out more in dividends than it earns in net income.
However, the significant net investment income (NII) generated by TRIN’s growing portfolio and its strategic investments in fast growing industries suggests that the company may be able to maintain or even increase its dividend over the long term. Future forecasts based on current earnings estimates indicate a potential softening in this ratio, easing some investor concerns.
Trinity Capital takes a multifaceted approach to risk mitigation. The Company maintains a diversified portfolio across industries and loan types, which reduces the risks for any individual borrower or sector. The focus is on senior secured loans with shorter terms to limit credit risk. Leveraging its experience in the lower middle market, Trinity proactively identifies opportunities for rapid growth while minimizing risk from less established borrowers.
Weighing risk and reward for high returns
Trinity Capital stock forecast for today
$15.17
Growth potential 6.51%Hold
Based on ratings of 3 analysts
High forecast | US$16.50 |
---|---|
Average forecast | $15.17 |
Low forecast | $13.00 |
Trinity Capital stock forecast details
Income investors may find Trinity Capital an attractive option due to its impressive dividend yield and stable dividend history. The unique dual business model of combining BDCs and RIAs provides additional revenue streams and further enhances long-term growth prospects. The recent $30 million share repurchase program adds another layer of positive sentiment.
While the current payout ratio of over 100% requires monitoring, the company’s healthy net investment income, supported by a rapidly growing portfolio and strategic investments in dynamic industries, suggests the potential for sustainable dividend payouts. Despite the risks, Trinity Capital’s growth trajectory, stable revenue stream and unique business model could make it an attractive addition to portfolios for investors seeking high returns and comfortable with a moderate level of risk.
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